07 Aug · 15:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1641
3-1Final setsDuch won
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1609
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Duch at 53%. The actual result was Adam Duch 3-1 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Adam Duch favoured — closing 1.52
Set handicap
Adam Duch −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Adam Duch −3.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Duch is favoured to win, below means Karol Guzy.
▲ Adam Duchpre 57% → final 90%
Karol Guzy ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 4 games