7 Aug · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1476
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gola
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1502
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H65-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.