8 Aug · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1533
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cizek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1507
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Cizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (30)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H12-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.