8 Aug · 12:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1575
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mrowetz
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1507
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)