8 Aug · 14:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1507
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fojtik
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1530
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Fojtik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Fojtik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.