8 Aug · 11:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1591
FormWLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Macurak
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1454
FormLWWLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+137
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)