8 Aug · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1591
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Macurak
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1514
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
🌟Konvicka covers set handicap as underdog 67% (30)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)