8 Aug · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1567
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Moravec
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1507
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)