8 Aug · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PR
🇨🇿Pavel Rissky
ELO 1530
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rissky
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1460
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Rissky rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (16)
Fair odds · Rissky
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)