8 Aug · 13:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PR
🇨🇿Pavel Rissky
ELO 1530
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Varecka
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1560
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Rissky covers set handicap as underdog 67% (15)
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.