8 Aug · 12:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1514
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Konvicka
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1487
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Reska
Fair odds · Konvicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.