8 Aug · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1677
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kocab
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1590
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)