8 Aug · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1588
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zacharda
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1544
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Zacharda rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Zacharda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.