8 Aug · 08:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1627
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chaloupka
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1545
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
🌟Gembala covers set handicap as underdog 65% (34)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)