8 Aug · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1576
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Krupnik
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1507
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (59)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H15-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-12)