8 Aug · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1514
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1576
FormLWLLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Konvicka🌟Konvicka covers set handicap as underdog 67% (30)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)