8 Aug · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1541
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ruzicka
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1481
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Ruzicka stays under total as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H15-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-13)