8 Aug · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1545
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1568
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gembala🌟Kleprlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.