8 Aug · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1591
FormWLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Macurak
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1487
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)