8 Aug · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1511
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Varecka
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1560
FormLLLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.