8 Aug · 14:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1471
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1515
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Fiklik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (125)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H13-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.