8 Aug · 17:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1512
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1553
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
🌟Jancak covers set handicap as underdog 70% (44)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H11-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.