8 Aug · 21:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1536
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lengal
DL
🇨🇿Dominik Lengal
ELO 1664
FormWLWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Lengal
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H3-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)