8 Aug · 19:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1562
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Heuman
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1536
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Heuman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (36)
Fair odds · Heuman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H18-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.