8 Aug · 22:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1588
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krupnik
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1536
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (61)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H21-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.