8 Aug · 21:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1536
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vitasek
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1514
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Travnicek🌟Vitasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (45)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H28-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.