8 Aug · 21:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1562
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Heuman
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1514
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Travnicek🌟Heuman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (36)
Fair odds · Heuman
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H11-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.