8 Aug · 22:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1470
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jnr
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1505
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Jemelka covers set handicap as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.