8 Aug · 23:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1701
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1707
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jicha🌟Kadavy covers set handicap as underdog 67% (33)
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.