8 Aug · 20:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FK
🇨🇿Filip Karel
ELO 1669
FormLLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Karel
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1544
FormWLWLW
60%
40%
🌟Karel goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Karel
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+125
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)