8 Aug · 21:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1674
FormWWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lysakowski
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1488
FormWLWLL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~80 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+186
H2H51-64
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)