9 Aug · 08:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1550
FormWLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Sindler
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1399
FormWLLLL
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ogrocki🌟Ogrocki stays under total as underdog 67% (45)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+151
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)