9 Aug · 08:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1673
FormLLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Bartik
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1550
FormWLLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+123
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)