9 Aug · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1473
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sulc
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1519
FormLLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sulc
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H43-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.