9 Aug · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1584
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mrowetz
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1524
FormLWWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Konvicka🌟Konvicka covers set handicap as underdog 69% (32)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)