9 Aug · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1584
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Mrowetz
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1485
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Precek
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H9-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)