9 Aug · 12:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1584
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1611
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.