9 Aug · 13:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1527
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zeman
JM
🇨🇿Jakub Mach
ELO 1525
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H3-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.