9 Aug · 09:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1673
FormLLWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Bartik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1446
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+227
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+227)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)