9 Aug · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1446
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1550
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (58)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H1-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)