9 Aug · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FK
🇨🇿Filip Karel
ELO 1647
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Karel
JJ
🇨🇿Jakub Joksch
ELO 1590
FormWWWWL
55%
45%
🌟Karel goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Karel
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)