9 Aug · 12:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1629
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skvrna
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1611
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (106)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H18-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.