9 Aug · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1446
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Muska
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1550
FormWLLWL
42%
58%
🌟Muska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 15% (13)
Fair odds · Muska
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)