9 Aug · 13:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1534
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mrowetz
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1584
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Cizek covers set handicap as underdog 70% (54)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.