9 Aug · 13:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1463
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Precek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1485
FormLLWLL
48%
52%
🌟Kus stays under total as underdog 73% (37)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.