9 Aug · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1611
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chaloupka
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1534
FormWWLLL
56%
44%
🌟Cizek covers set handicap as underdog 70% (54)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)