9 Aug · 12:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1527
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1536
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Zeman goes over total as underdog 66% (59)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H11-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.