9 Aug · 10:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JD
🇨🇿Jakub Dvorak
ELO 1536
FormWLWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Dvorak
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pasek
ELO 1380
FormWLWLL
63%
37%
🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (39)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+156
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)