9 Aug · 14:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1485
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Langer
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1473
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Langer rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (88)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H20-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.