9 Aug · 13:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1486
FormLWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1640
FormWWLLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~80 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+154
H2H58-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-36)